The Reds have selected two relatively safe college prospects the past two seasons, but you don’t have to jog your memory too much to remember Hunter Greene and Tyler Stephenson as recent first round picks as well. Since MLB Pipeline began ranking prospect talent before the 2015 season, the top-rated systems have sparked big league success.

Offensively, there’s raw plus-power in his profile and present bat speed, but atrocious contact and ball/strike recognition that will surely scare off some teams. The Brewers are getting one hell of a player in Bailey. As of today, they’ve missed on all three. Just give me a second. The southpaw only pitched once during the shortened 2020 collegiate season, going 3.1 IP and flashing an elite two pitch-mix that includes a high-spin fastball and a wipeout slider (he also utilized a changeup for good measure). The Jays have shown they’re unafraid of taking a prep bat this early in the scenario that the prospect takes less than the slot, a la Jordan Groshans in 2018.

There’s little reason to risk it with Kelley or Mick Abel with the likes of Detmers or Garrett Crochet still available.

At the plate, he has slightly above average power, which translated to a career .280 ISO and 4.9 HR% at North Carolina State. With new general manager Ben Cherrington and amateur director Steve Sanders set to take over the Pirates, a new approach to the draft should manifest itself beginning next month. Martin could be one of the best prospects in baseball in a few seasons and it wouldn’t surprise anybody, but he could just as easily be an afterthought. The If the Angels truly believe in their scouting department, they’ll stick with what’s worked.

College pitchers Tanner Burns, JT Ginn, Chris McMahon and Slade Cecconi all present starting pitcher quality tools, and in a deep pitching class, any of those names would be a safe bet.

At LSU, Cabrera slashed .300/.382/.520 against SEC pitching with a .220 ISO, 17.5 K% and 11.3 BB%. Loftin is such an Athletics pick, and I promise it has nothing to do with Baylor and Oakland’s similar color schemes. Bitsko wouldn’t be such a tricky player to project if it weren’t for his commitment to Virginia, as some scouts believe he’ll be one of the toughest first round talents to sign. There’s a dozen plausible options here, and if the Padres prioritize upside over present bat-to-ball skills, it’s likely Zac Veen is the pick here (he’s been commonly mocked here). But it goes without saying that Lacy’s track record speaks for itself and the Marlins are going to feel good selecting a potential top-of-the-line starter.General Manager Dayton Moore and high school prospects typically don’t mix well together. Defensively, he has an above average arm and average receiving skills. While Lacy is likely the best prospect remaining at this pick on paper, there’s some relief risk, with an atypical delivery that’s violent and sometimes out-of-touch. The logical thinking would be that Sanders—who was Toronto’s amateur director the past four seasons—will stick with his approach, taking a college arm with all the measurables. It’s fitting that in Sanders’ first draft in Pittsburgh, the state of Pennsylvania sees two potential top-ten talents spike on draft radars in Nick Bitsko and Austin Hendrick. The reverse side of that coin is Soderstrom, who the White Sox could underslot at this pick, allowing Shirley to be more aggressive later in the draft as he attempts to officially stamp his name on the budding powerhouse on the South Side. In 2018, they took Alek Thomas, the high school teammate of Howard, so there’s already some familiarity here as I’m sure they’ve had their eye on him for a while. Consistently labeled as a left field-only prospect, Cabrera will need to continue raking as a professional to accrue consistent valuadded pressure of living up to the yearly expectations in the Bronx. At this point of the first round, you’re likely best off selecting the best available college pitcher on your board, and that’s what the Cardinals will be doing here. The switch-hitting backstop has lots of tools, all of which grade at least average, though the hit tool gets an above average grade from both sides of the plate.

The Cubs (pre-2015) and Red Sox (mid-'15) won World Series, the Dodgers (pre-2016) advanced to consecutive World Series, and the Brewers (mid-'16) and Braves (pre-'17) have made multiple playoff appearances. Sure, the upside of Veen is through-the-roof, but Nick Gonzales is the safe and much better gamble. Our evaluations are based on a variety of factors, including potential impact talent, depth, proximity to the big leagues and balance between position players and pitchers as well as ceilings and floors. Since MLB Pipeline began ranking prospect talent before the 2015 season, the top-rated systems have sparked big league success. Lacy’s success stems from the draft’s best two-pitch-mix, the better of the pair being his power-slider, which sits in the low-90’s with advanced break and heavy spin efficiency. While Heston Kjerstad fits their previous M.O., Hendricks’ raw-bat has some similarities to current top prospect and 2017 first-round pick Heliot Ramos, often hitting for plus-power while showing well above average actions in a corner-outfield role.

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