In short, Vince Velasquez’s fastball holds the key to his future success. Velasquez stayed in after four scoreless innings with six K's. We present them here for purely educational purposes. Any pitcher who can deceive hitters like this will be successful.This VV overlay from just a few weeks ago shows promise that potential offseason fastball adjustments could be steering his deception in the right direction:Vince Velasquez, 93mph Fastball and 81mph Curveball, Overlay (Synced at release). An 8% jump in four seam usage led to a sizable increase in VV’s fastball xwOBA in 2019. One issue could be the pitch’s spin efficiency. Spin efficiency measures how much of a pitch’s spin contributes to its movement.

All images are property the copyright holder and are displayed here for informational purposes only. That's helped lead to a 4.86 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 103 strikeouts in 96.1 innings this season. While this outing showed plenty of potential, Velasquez has worked five innings in just two of his last five starts. Regardless of potential fastball adjustments, Velasquez is a naturally high spin pitcher for his velocity, making him a candidate to run his four seam up in the zone and induce fly balls. Latest on Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Vince Velasquez including news, stats, videos, highlights and more on ESPN The starter for the other game in the doubleheader hasn't officially been named, but top pitching prospect Spencer Howard could line up to make his major-league debut.Velasquez cruised through the first inning, striking out the final two batters he faced. His ground ball rate has been decreasing considerably, which could explain his increased barrel numbers. He'll have the chance to replicate his success in his next start, currently scheduled for Sunday at Cleveland.The Phillies are using Friday's off day to reshuffle the rotation, with manager Gabe Kapler electing to move ace Aaron Nola and No.

The 27-year-old has a 4.80 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 108:37 K:BB over 99.1 innings and lines up to face the Mets on Sunday, but he could continue to see a shorter leash thanks to September's expanded roster.Although it wasn't a great start, this was a nice way for Velasquez to rebound after giving up seven runs in his last outing. Comparing this to the zone breakdown, it would appear Velasquez’s biggest fault is leaving pitches low in the zone that result in hard contact, rather than ground balls.

He’s in the rotation. This contributes to pitcher deception, and it is why Gerrit Cole’s pitch overlay looks like this:Gerrit Cole fastball, knuckle-curve, slider overlay. However, he ran into trouble quickly in the second frame, during which he allowed two home runs that accounted for all of his earned runs. Not all pitchers have to live low in the zone.

The frame opened with a pair of errors -- one of which was committed by Velasquez himself -- and was blown open when Oscar Mercado homered to drive in three runs and break a 1-1 tie. This one, again, goes to the bullpen. The rest of his repertoire is inconsistent but has shown promise in certain parts of the last 2 seasons.Regardless, if he does refine his fastball it could result in softer contact moving forward. Here are all the qualified pitchers whose average fastball velocities are within .5 MPH of Velasquez, sorted by usage:Even pitchers with notoriously good fastballs (Scherzer, Verlander, Strasburg) are not throwing that pitch nearly as much as Velasquez.Among qualified pitchers who throw their fastballs at least 15% of the time, here are the best ones from last season, measured by xwOBA:Unsurprisingly, Gerrit Cole’s fastball is in a league of its own. He continues to have a strong 2.94 strikeouts-to-walks ratio, and opponents are hitting just .251 against him. However, there are some cherry-picked metrics that could provide context.Velasquez’s zone swing rate was almost 6% above league average last season, meaning he was likely leaving the ball over the plate too much and hitters were taking advantage. While he also gets hit in the high/outside portion of the strike zone, working more outside than he currently does against righties could alleviate himself of some hard contact. Velasquez was drafted by the Houston Astros in the second round of the On June 10, 2015, Velasquez was promoted to the Major Leagues for the first time.On December 12, 2015, the Astros traded Velasquez, Velasquez registered 16 strikeouts (the 3rd-most in Phillies history) in a His 2017 season was also cut short due to a right middle finger injury, with Velasquez making only 15 starts with a record of 2–7 and a 5.13 ERA, and 68 strikeouts in 72 innings.Velasquez began the 2018 season with a 5–8 record before being placed on the In January 2019 he agreed to a one-year, $2.249 million contract with the Phillies.On August 2, 2019, Velasquez was inserted into left field in an extra inning game vs the Chicago White Sox while his teammate centerfielder In 2019 he was 7-8 with a 4.91 ERA, as in 33 games (23 starts) he pitched 117.1 innings and struck out 130 batters (averaging 10.0 strikeouts per 9 innings) while hitting nine batters (9th-most in the NL). Another issue for Velasquez came from his slider getting hit considerably harder in 2019 than it did in 2018.

While he was knocked around in his first start, the jury is still out on whether or not the changes will have a positive effect moving forward.


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